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ESB‑ov blog

Europski pogled na središnje bankarstvo i gospodarstvo

ESB‑ov blog nudi nove uvide u gospodarstvo i politike središnjeg bankarstva na osnovi naših podatka, analize i istraživanja, koji se odnose na kretanja u europodručju i izvan njega. Autori tekstova stručnjaci su ESB‑a i članovi Izvršnog odbora.

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20 January 2025

Why prudent projections are the backbone of sound stress testing

Stress tests are of crucial importance to assess banks’ resilience under adverse economic conditions. In previous stress tests, however, some banks submitted overly optimistic projections. Despite thorough quality assurance by supervisors, this behaviour makes it more likely that the risks some banks face are underestimated. To address this, we are now taking a closer look at insufficiently prudent projection submissions. In line with our supervisory focus on banks’ risk data aggregation and reporting capabilities, we are also looking more closely at poor data quality issues in stress tests.

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